About
We are convening modellers, scenario developers, and policy practitioners committed to strengthening the scientific foundations underpinning global biodiversity policy. The objective is to improve the use of scenarios in the design and implementation of the Global Biodiversity Framework, National Biodiversity Strategies and Action Plans, and National Reporting through collaboration between policy bodies and scientific communities.
BioFutures project
This initiative is inspired by BioFutures project (2024-2026) funded by the UK Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) and in collaboration with UNEP-WCMC, UKCEH, NHM, and the University of Edinburgh.
Biofutures is a research and policy project designed to explore the range of possible outcomes from implementing the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (KM-GBF). The project addresses a critical evidence gap: how different beliefs and approaches to nature could lead to diverging futures for both biodiversity and people, and whether the KM-GBF's ultimate goals can be achieved under varying interpretations of nature in policy implementation pathways.
The project comprises four workstreams: a comprehensive review of existing models and scenarios relevant to the KM-GBF (see report tab); a proof-of-concept terrestrial modelling approach grounded in the IPBES Nature Futures Framework; an analysis of policy actions needed to achieve KM-GBF Targets and Goals; and a science-policy communications programme to disseminate findings and identify future modelling needs.
Together, these workstreams provide a broad assessment of how scenario modelling can inform biodiversity policy, helping decision-makers understand what it will take to meet global nature targets and where ambition may need to be strengthened.
This initiative is inspired by BioFutures project (2024-2026) funded by the UK Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) and in collaboration with UNEP-WCMC, UKCEH, NHM, and the University of Edinburgh.
Biofutures is a research and policy project designed to explore the range of possible outcomes from implementing the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (KM-GBF). The project addresses a critical evidence gap: how different beliefs and approaches to nature could lead to diverging futures for both biodiversity and people, and whether the KM-GBF's ultimate goals can be achieved under varying interpretations of nature in policy implementation pathways.
The project comprises four workstreams: a comprehensive review of existing models and scenarios relevant to the KM-GBF (see report tab); a proof-of-concept terrestrial modelling approach grounded in the IPBES Nature Futures Framework; an analysis of policy actions needed to achieve KM-GBF Targets and Goals; and a science-policy communications programme to disseminate findings and identify future modelling needs.
Together, these workstreams provide a broad assessment of how scenario modelling can inform biodiversity policy, helping decision-makers understand what it will take to meet global nature targets and where ambition may need to be strengthened.